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A separate report from the Commerce Department showed construction spending increased 0.5% in August after rising 0.9% in July, lifted by outlays on single- and multi-family housing. Spending on private construction projects rose 0.5%, with investment in residential construction advancing 0.6% after increasing 1.6% in the prior month. The construction spending report showed outlays on multi-family housing projects rose 0.6% in August. Spending on new single-family construction projects rose 1.7%. Spending on manufacturing construction projects shot up 1.2%.
Persons: Kamil Krzaczynski, Paul Ashworth, outlays, Freddie Mac, Biden, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Institute for Supply Management, PMI, North America Economist, Capital Economics, Reuters, United Auto Workers, Treasury, Commerce Department, Thomson Locations: Normal , Illinois, U.S, WASHINGTON, Toronto, Panama, China, United States, State
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, excluding the volatile food and energy components, edged up 0.1% last month. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the core PCE price index would climb 0.2%. In the 12 months through August, the so-called core PCE price index increased 3.9%. It was the first time since June 2021 that the annual core PCE price index was below 4.0%. In the 12 months through August, the PCE price index advanced 3.5% after gaining 3.4% in July.
Persons: Conrad DeQuadros, Bing Guan, David Russell, Scott Anderson, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Brean, Reuters, University of Michigan, Consumers, REUTERS, Treasury, Financial, BMO Capital Markets, Retailers, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, U.S, New York, SoHo, New York City, San Francisco
WASHINGTON, Sept 29 (Reuters) - U.S. consumer spending increased in August, but underlying inflation moderated, with the year-on-year rise in prices excluding food and energy slowing to below 4.0%. With gasoline price surging, inflation as measured by the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index rose 0.4% in August after climbing 0.2% in July. In the 12 months through August, the PCE price index advanced 3.5% after rising 3.4% in July. The annual PCE inflation is also being lifted by a lower base of comparison last year. The so-called core PCE price index increased 3.9% on a year-on-year basis in August after rising 4.3% in July.
Persons: Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: Consumer, Commerce Department, Reuters, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Federal Reserve, Fed, Thomson Locations: U.S
Underlying US inflation pressures subside in August
  + stars: | 2023-09-29 | by ( Lucia Mutikani | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +4 min
Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the core PCE price index would climb 0.2%. In the 12 months through August, the so-called core PCE price index increased 3.9%. It was the first time since June 2021 that the annual core PCE price index was below 4.0%. In the 12 months through August, the PCE price index advanced 3.5% after gaining 3.4% in July. Policymakers are focused on the super core price measure as they try to gauge progress in their fight against inflation.
Persons: Bing Guan, Rubeela Farooqi, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Reuters, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Treasury, Fed, Financial, Thomson Locations: SoHo, New York City, U.S, WASHINGTON, White Plains , New York
This was most prevalent in first-quarter GDP data, before the government resolved the problem in 2018. GDP in the first quarter of 2020 was revised down to show it contracting at a 5.3% annualized rate, instead of the previously reported 4.6% pace. In the first quarter of 2021, GDP increased at a 5.2% rate rather than the previously published 6.3% pace, with consumer spending revised lower. In 2022, GDP contracted at a 2.0% rate in the first quarter, revised down from the previously reported 1.6% pace. The gap was less than 0.1% of GDP in 2022, revised from −0.6%.
Persons: Dave Wasshausen, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Analysis, BEA, Gross, Federal Reserve, Thomson
That could mean a delay in the much-anticipated announcement of the annual cost of living adjustment (COLA) to the monthly benefits paid out by the Social Security Administration. The new rate will start to be paid to Social Security retirement benefits recipients in January 2024, while payments to SSI beneficiaries typically change at the end of each December. "A delay of the CPI release may have an impact on the COLA announcement by the Social Security Administration," according to a Labor Department memo detailing how a shutdown would affect agency operations. Last year, with annual inflation raging near the highest in four decades, the COLA announced for 2023 payments was 8.7%, the largest increase since 1981 and the fourth biggest ever. Still, whatever COLA is announced for 2024 is unlikely to offer the same buffer over inflation as recipients enjoyed in 2023.
Persons: Price, Dan Burns, Lucia Mutikani, Lisa Shumaker Organizations: U.S . Labor Department, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Social Security Administration, Social Security, CPI, Urban, Clerical Workers, BLS, Labor Department, SSA, COLA, U.S . Federal, Social, Thomson
Tight labor market conditions continue to prevail, with the number of Americans filing new claims for unemployment benefits rising slightly last week, other data showed on Thursday. Some economists believe that the economy's resilience and tight labor market could give the Federal Reserve ammunition to raise interest rates again in November. Reuters GraphicsSTRONG LABOR MARKETThe economy is being underpinned by a resilient labor market, which is driving strong wage gains. The labor market has continued to hold its own so far. The unemployment rate increased to 3.8% in August from 3.5% in July.
Persons: Mike Blake, Christopher Rupkey, Lucia Mutikani, Paul Simao Organizations: Port, REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Gross, Reuters Graphics, U.S . House, United Auto Workers, General Motors, Ford, Labor Department, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Port of Los Angeles, San Pedro , California, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York
Durable goods are seen on sale in a store in Los Angeles, California, U.S., March 24, 2017. Part of the surprise increase in durable goods orders reported by the Commerce Department on Wednesday, however, likely reflected higher prices as inflation picked up last month. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast durable goods orders falling 0.5% last month. These so-called core capital goods orders were previously reported to have edged up 0.1% in July. Core capital goods shipments rebounded 0.7% after falling 0.3% in July.
Persons: Lucy Nicholson, Priscilla Thiagamoorthy, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Commerce Department, BMO Capital Markets, Reuters, Machinery, Institute, Supply, PMI, United Auto Workers, General Motors Co, Ford, Thomson Locations: Los Angeles , California, U.S, WASHINGTON, Toronto, muddle
US consumer confidence ebbs in September
  + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
A woman carries shopping bags during the holiday season in New York City, U.S., December 21, 2022. REUTERS/Eduardo Munoz/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsWASHINGTON, Sept 26 (Reuters) - U.S. consumer confidence fell for a second straight month in September amid worries about higher prices and the political environment, a survey showed on Tuesday. The Conference Board said its consumer confidence index dropped to 103.0 this month from an upwardly revised 108.7 in August. "Consumers also expressed concerns about the political situation and higher interest rates. The decline in consumer confidence was evident across all age groups, and notably among consumers with household incomes of $50,000 or more."
Persons: Eduardo Munoz, Dana Peterson, Consumers, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, Board, Reuters, Conference Board, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S
US new home sales tumble in August
  + stars: | 2023-09-26 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
New home sales plunged 8.7% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 675,000 units last month, the Commerce Department said on Tuesday. July's sales pace was revised higher to 739,000 units from the previously reported 714,000 units. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast new home sales, which account for a small share of U.S. home sales, falling to a rate of 700,000 units. New home sales are counted at the signing of a contract, making them a leading indicator of the housing market. At August's sales pace it would take 7.8 months to clear the supply of houses on the market, up from 7.0 months in July.
Persons: Octavio Jones, Freddie Mac, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Rights, U.S, Commerce Department, Reuters, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Data, National Association of Home Builders, Thomson Locations: Tampa , Florida, U.S, Wells Fargo, West, Midwest, Northeast
That means the unemployment insurance weekly claims data will also not be published during any shutdown this time. “Most services provided by the Census Bureau would cease, including production of Economic Census data, production of economic indicators, and work on the American Community Survey,” the official said. That means delays in the release of key data, including the retail sales, housing starts and new home sales reports for September. Depending on the duration of the shutdown, the release of the first estimate of third-quarter GDP due in late October could also be delayed. As a self-funding agency, the Fed would continue to release data, policy statements and other reports.
Persons: Evelyn Hockstein, Organizations: WASHINGTON, U.S, United States Capitol, REUTERS, Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics, Commerce, Analysis, Federal Reserve, Republican Party, Leaders, Republican, House, of Labor Statistics, Biden, Reuters, , Labor Department, BLS, Training Administration, American Community Survey, Fed Locations: Washington , U.S, Commerce Department’s, U.S
Hundreds of people line up outside the Kentucky Career Center, over two hours prior to its opening, to find assistance with their unemployment claims, in Frankfort, Kentucky, U.S. June 18, 2020. Though demand for labor is slowing, overall labor market conditions have remained tight despite higher interest rates. "The U.S. labor market continues to outperform expectations," said Eugenio Aleman, chief economist at Raymond James. The so-called continuing claims declined 21,000 to 1.662 million during the week ending Sept. 9, also the lowest level since January, the claims report showed. Continuing claims remain historically low, a reminder that labor market conditions are still tight.
Persons: Bryan Woolston, Eugenio Aleman, Raymond James, Unadjusted, Jerome Powell, Stellantis, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao Organizations: Kentucky, Center, REUTERS, Bryan Woolston Acquire, United Auto Workers, UAW, Labor Department, Reuters, Reserve, Ford, GM, Chrysler, Workers, Thomson Locations: Frankfort , Kentucky, U.S, WASHINGTON, Indiana, California, South Carolina , New York, Georgia, Kansas, Ohio
The decline in housing starts reported by the Commerce Department on Tuesday was the largest in a year and occurred across the board. Housing starts tumbled 11.3% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.283 million units last month, the lowest level since June 2020. Data for July was revised lower to show starts accelerating to a rate of 1.447 million units instead of the previously reported 1.452 million units. Single-family housing starts, which account for the bulk of homebuilding, dropped 4.3% to a rate of 941,000 units last month. They were boosted by a 14.8% surge in multi-family housing permits to a rate of 535,000 units.
Persons: Mike Blake, homebuilding, Daniel Vielhaber, Hilary, Freddie Mac, Goldman Sachs, Nancy Vanden Houten, Jeffrey Roach, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Commerce Department, Federal, Nationwide, Reuters, U.S, Treasury, National Association of Home Builders, Oxford Economics, Realtors, LPL Financial, Thomson Locations: Rancho, San Diego , California, U.S, WASHINGTON, Columbus , Ohio, homebuilding, Northeast, Midwest, Wells Fargo, New York, Charlotte , North Carolina
Retail sales rose 0.6% last month. Higher gasoline prices boosted producer prices in August, other data from the Labor Department showed on Thursday. Excluding gasoline stations, retail sales rose 0.2% last month. Sales at food services and drinking places, the only services category in the retail sales report, rose 0.3% after increasing 0.8% in July. Excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services, retail sales edged up 0.1% in August.
Persons: Mike Blake, Christopher Rupkey, Goldman Sachs, Nancy Vanden Houten, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: REUTERS, Commerce Department, Federal Reserve, Reuters, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Labor Department, Treasury, delinquencies, New York Federal Reserve, Gross, Oxford Economics, Thomson Locations: Carlsbad , California, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York
"It's going to be a mixed picture, with headline inflation picking due to higher gasoline prices and core inflation remaining contained," said Sam Bullard, a senior economist at Wells Fargo in Charlotte, North Carolina. "The Fed would be encouraged by the continued moderation trend in core inflation, but it's still too high." While that would mark the second straight month of a pick up in annual inflation, year-on-year consumer prices have come down from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022. In the 12 months through August, the core CPI is forecast to have increased by 4.3%. "Under our new forecast for CPI health insurance, we continue to expect core CPI and especially core services ex.
Persons: Sam Bullard, it's, Ronnie Walker, Goldman Sachs, James Knightley, Lucia Mutikani, Timothy Gardner Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, U.S . Energy Information Administration, CPI, Financial, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, United Auto Workers, General Motors, Ford Motor, ING, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, Wells, Charlotte , North Carolina, U.S, I'm, New York
The consumer price index increased by 0.6% last month, the largest gain since June 2022. Gasoline prices, which jumped 10.6% after rising 0.2% in July, accounted for more than half of the increase in the CPI last month. While that marked the second straight month of a pick-up in annual inflation, year-on-year consumer prices have come down from a peak of 9.1% in June 2022. The so-called core CPI had increased 0.2% for two consecutive months. In the 12 months through August, the core CPI increased 4.3%.
Persons: bode, Phillip Neuhart, Chris Zaccarelli, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: Federal Reserve, Labor Department, First Citizens Bank, U.S . Energy Information Administration, Treasury, Independent, Reuters, Reuters Graphics Financial, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, United Auto Workers, General Motors, Ford Motor, Thomson Locations: WASHINGTON, New York, U.S, Charlotte , North Carolina
As a congressman in 1994, Richardson visited reclusive communist-ruled North Korea to discuss a nuclear accord struck by Clinton. As Richardson was traveling to the country, North Korea shot down a U.S. military helicopter that had entered its territory, killing one pilot and capturing the other. Richardson stayed for weeks to negotiate, flying home with the dead pilot's remains while the surviving pilot was released soon thereafter. In 1996, Richardson negotiated the release of an American named Evan Hunziker, jailed on spy charges in North Korea. Richardson later attended a prep school in Massachusetts, where he became a star baseball pitcher with dreams of a professional career.
Persons: New Mexico Bill Richardson, Gus Ruelas, Bill Richardson, Richardson, Mickey Bergman, Bergman, Bill Clinton, you've, You've, Barack Obama, Obama, Danny Fenster, Clinton, Evan Hunziker, Saddam Hussein, Fidel Castro, William Blaine Richardson, Will Dunham, Lucia Mutikani, Rosalba O'Brien Organizations: University of Southern California's Schwarzenegger Institute for State, Global, REUTERS, Rights, New, Richardson Center, U.S, Richardson, Democratic, U.S . House, Representatives, United Nations, Foreign Policy, Cuban, Citibank, Tufts University, State Department, Thomson Locations: New Mexico, Los Angeles , California, U.S, Chatham , Massachusetts, Mexican, American, United States, North Korea, Myanmar, Sudan, Iraq, Iran, Cuba, New Hampshire, Iowa, Korean, Kuwait, Iraqi, Miami, Pasadena , California, Mexico City, Oaxaca, Massachusetts, Washington
As such, economists are cautioning against reading too much into any sharp deceleration in job gains when the Labor Department's publishes its closely watched employment report on Friday. Nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 170,000 jobs last month after rising 187,000 in July, according to a Reuters survey of economists. Still, employment growth would be more than the roughly 100,000 jobs per month needed to keep up with the increase in the working age population. Yellow Corp trucking filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy in early August, leaving about 30,000 workers unemployed. "This (job growth) would be one more piece of evidence that would be consistent with that, but that also depends a lot on the upcoming inflation data."
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, it's, Brian Bethune, Nonfarm, payrolls, Conrad DeQuadros, Dean Maki, Ellen Zentner, Morgan Stanley, Lucia Mutikani, Nick Zieminski Organizations: REUTERS, Labor, Boston College, Labor Department's Bureau of Labor Statistics, American Federation of Television, Radio Artists, Yellow Corp, Brean, Point72, Management, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, Stamford , Connecticut
Sept 1 (Reuters) - The U.S. Federal Reserve is likely done raising interest rates, traders bet on Friday after a government report showed the unemployment rate rose last month and wage growth cooled. Futures that settle to the Fed's policy rate had already priced in only a slight chance of a rate hike this month. "This report is likely to put the Fed on hold in September, and if we get more positive inflation news in September and October, the Fed is likely done, and we’ve seen the end of the rate hikes," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities. "In the labor market, some progress is being made in bringing demand and supply into better balance, but the job market is still strong,” she told a European Central Bank conference shortly after the latest jobs report. Traders currently see the Fed likely on hold through April 2024, with rate cuts to start in May.
Persons: we’ve, Peter Cardillo, Loretta Mester, Ann Saphir, Stephen Culp, Michael S, Lucia Mutikani, Alex Richardson, Andrea Ricci, Marguerita Choy Organizations: U.S . Federal, Labor Department, Employers, Spartan Capital Securities, Fed, Cleveland Fed, European Central Bank, Traders, Derby, Thomson
The labor market is slowing in response to the U.S. central bank's hefty rate hikes to cool demand in the economy. Leisure and hospitality payrolls increased by 40,000. Household employment increased by 222,000. As a result, the unemployment rate increased to 3.8%, the highest level since February 2022, from 3.5% in July. The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, increased to 62.8%.
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Bill Adams, Nonfarm, Lucia Mutikani, Nick Zieminski, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor Department, Employment, Comerica Bank, Reuters, Hollywood, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Treasury, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, WASHINGTON, Dallas
Consumer spending is being supported by a tight labor market, with other data showing first-time applications for unemployment benefits unexpectedly falling last week. "How long inflation can continue to come down with consumer spending this strong is an open question." When adjusted for inflation, consumer spending increased 0.6%, also the largest gain since January. The so-called real consumer spending rose 0.4% in June. The annual PCE inflation rates were lifted by a lower base of comparison last year.
Persons: Andrew Kelly, Christopher Rupkey, nonfarm payrolls, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Commerce Department, Services, Treasury, Reuters Graphics Reuters, Fed, Employers, Labor Department, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Manhattan , New York City, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, outlays
US private payrolls growth slows sharply in August - ADP
  + stars: | 2023-08-30 | by ( ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +1 min
WASHINGTON, Aug 30 (Reuters) - U.S. private payrolls increased less than expected in August, the latest indication that the labor market was losing steam, though it remains tight. Private payrolls rose by 177,000 jobs last month, the ADP National Employment report showed on Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast private employment would increase by 195,000. It has not been a reliable gauge in trying to predict the private payrolls count in the employment report. According to a Reuters survey of economists, the Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to report that private payrolls increased by 150,000 jobs in August.
Persons: payrolls, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Organizations: ADP, Reuters, Federal Reserve, Conference Board, Stanford Digital Economy, Labor, of Labor Statistics, Thomson
Economists polled by Reuters had expected GDP for the second quarter would be unrevised. Inventories were a small drag to GDP growth instead of adding 0.14 percentage point as estimated last month. It is expanding at a pace well above what Fed officials regard as the non-inflationary growth rate of around 1.8%. GDPINFLATION COOLINGThe government's measure of inflation in the economy, the price index for gross domestic purchases, rose at a 1.7% rate, revised down from the 1.9% rate estimated last month. An alternative measure of growth, gross domestic income, or GDI, rebounded at a 0.5% rate in the second quarter.
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Lydia Boussour, Lucia Mutikani, Chizu Nomiyama, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Commerce Department, Wednesday, Federal Reserve, Gross, Reuters, Fed, ADP, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, WASHINGTON, EY, New York
That was reinforced by a survey from the Conference Board showing consumers' perceptions of the labor market cooled in August. Nevertheless, labor market conditions remain tight, with 1.51 job openings for every unemployed person in July, compared to 1.54 in June. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 9.465 million job openings. State and local government education job openings declined by 62,000 and there were 27,000 fewer federal government vacancies. Reuters GraphicsDeclining job openings are likely to be mirrored by slower job growth in August.
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Conrad DeQuadros, payrolls, Jerome Powell, Jackson, Jeffrey Roach, Christopher Rupkey, Scott Anderson, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor, Survey, Labor Department, Board, Brean, Reuters, Midwest, Reuters Graphics, LPL Financial, Treasury, Fed, Companies, Bank of, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York, Northeast, West, Wyoming, Charlotte , North Carolina, Stocks, San Francisco
That was reinforced by a survey from the Conference Board showing consumers' perceptions of the labor market cooling in August. Nevertheless, labor market conditions remain tight, with 1.5 job openings for every unemployed person in July. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast 9.465 million job openings in July. The decrease was led by the professional and business services sector, where job openings dropped 198,000. The quits rate, viewed as a measure of labor market confidence, fell to 2.3% from 2.4% in June.
Persons: Elizabeth Frantz, Conrad DeQuadros, Jerome Powell, Lucia Mutikani, Andrea Ricci Organizations: REUTERS, Federal Reserve, Labor, Survey, Labor Department, Board, Brean, Reuters, Treasury, Fed, Companies, Thomson Locations: Arlington , Virginia, U.S, WASHINGTON, New York
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